With the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it is time to start having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two bouts on the card have lines released, and they are about as different as could be. In the primary event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the guy he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a massive -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male manhood ruled that first fight, scoring a fifth-round TKO in one of the biggest anti upsets in UFC history. This moment, the chances are much nearer, with Dillashaw sitting in -140 and Barao the small underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card which up until now didn’t have gambling lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas changed that today as he released the complete UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually want Bethe Correia to win this particular battle, so I do not need to listen to anything about the ridiculous”Four Horsewomen” ever again. That said, Correia hasn’t faced anyone of Baszler’s skill level, particularly when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler can wade through Correia’s striking and drag this fight to the ground where she’ll have a distinct edge. The biggest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and harm woes of late, which is more than enough to keep me away from gambling her. Tony Ferguson seems like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been tagged on the toes several times prior to, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe will not have the ability to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be quite competitive in most regions, but Ferguson has minor edges that ought to propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late makes him look like a 37-year-old. He looked completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was immediately dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the flip side, Derek Brunson provided the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s career in his most recent bout. It seems like Larkin was really overvalued as a prospect while in Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is an extremely difficult bout to predict in terms of a negative or a complete, so I’ll likely stay away entirely. On the other hand, I believe Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem might have a wrestling edge , but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the much greater submission grappler, and likely even the greater striker at this point (though Nijem’s improvement in that regard last time outside was fine to see). I anticipate Ferreira to find the win, and likely put another end on his resume from his submission skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for fascinating bouts when he had been confronting completely overmatched competition, so now that he’s up against a legitimate test in Scott Jorgensen, I have to admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical advantages here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, obviously. He may not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I think he wins rounds with takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the vital tests for prospects in his final outing too, becoming broken square to the jaw and shaking it off to win not just the combat, but that round too. The major question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was the impetus he needed to begin taking the game seriously, as in his previous appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it’s quite obvious he’s been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen he may not have the ability to get away with a half attempt, and if he does it will make him even more special. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with decidedly less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His sole loss came into UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to control and outhustle opponents to pick up decisions. That will be difficult against Ruslan Magomedov, who actually possesses decent cardio to get a heavyweight, to go along with his solid striking. Coming off of nearly a year layoff, it is hard to expect much from Odoms, so that I expect Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I fully expect to fade if he can pick up a few more wins and face decent competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should nearly be snuffed out at this stage. His striking defense looked atrocious against both Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, and his submission match was practically non-existent since he was tapped within minutes of hitting the floor against Miller. Perhaps that may work to the advantage of his backers against Justin Edwards nevertheless, as Edwards really isn’t UFC caliber, even in this point. Edwards has a good guillotine, rather than many other abilities, therefore Medeiros has this struggle to win so long as he doesn’t dive in that weapon. Edwards will probably come out fast, since he should know that a win will mark the conclusion of the UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will probably be shown the door too, since both place on putrid dislpays in their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not overly talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed enormous holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the other hand, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was set out by one shot on the floor against Soa Palelei. Either man could complete this battle quickly and that I would not be amazed, or they could play it safe and we can be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. In case the cost for this bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I may just have a shot in hopes that the bout is of the hilariously bad selection, but I can not see myself putting considerably more than Monopoly money down on this contest.
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